Dem Pollsters: Brown opens up significant lead over Warren

I don't buy the numbers. That spread will be eliminated by election (4.00 / 1)

day when the Obamaton show up at the polls, unfortunately.  

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by: David Ricardo @ Tue Aug 21, 2012 at 18:49:35 PM UTC

Two words. (0.00 / 0)

Outlier.

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"That it ceased to exist, I'll grant you, but whether or not it failed cannot be definitively said." - Metropolitan (1990)

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by: Patrick @ Tue Aug 21, 2012 at 19:48:01 PM UTC

Then you'd have to say the same for the March poll that had Warren up y 5. (0.00 / 0)

and the left crowed about that!

That said, I'd like to see another reputable poll to either confirm or deny this.

Follow me on Twitter?  Sure, why not.  www.twitter.com/paulferro

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by: Paul R. Ferro @ Tue Aug 21, 2012 at 21:04:24 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I believe it (0.00 / 0)

I don't get the sense that Warren is warming up to the people at all. Her ads are terrible, and there hasn't been a moment in this campaign where she has connected to the average person in Massachusetts.

Brown on the other hand is running a stellar campaign, and I hope he keeps it up.

Nothing in the poll itself raises red flags. The Dem/GOP party ID's are both a couple points low, but that balances itself out.

The other recent poll was in July by MassINC, which had Warren up 2. They had Brown at just 38%. Obviously they weren't pushing leaners very much. Brown has been in the 40's in every other major polls, with the exception of the Boston Globe polls which have the same problem. This race is on the minds of voters too much for there to be 20% undecideds in a poll at this point in the campaign.

(R)- Outside 495

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by: MerrimackMan @ Tue Aug 21, 2012 at 22:45:45 PM UTC

The Scott Brown Democrat ads have been very effective.... (0.00 / 0)

As you say EaBo, and as I have said many times, Elizabeth Warren is liked less the more you know her...  She truly comes off as a elitist snob that is trying to pander to the middle class.  It's an act she can't be convincing in.  

Elizabeth Warren is running this race for all the wrong reasons.  For Elizabeth this is a personal thing.  She didn't get the job as the head of the CFPB so she is trying to do an end run around Scott Brown and do the job from the Senate instead.  She doesn't care about working in the US Senate - the only thing she crows about is fixing the banks, which would have been her job had she been appointed to head the CFPB, but she wasn't.  

I bet once the data from this recent poll have been analyzed they will find that her numbers among independents and 'old school' Democrats are falling.  They just don't like her....

On the other hand, they DO like Scott Brown.

We are headed for a 'Fiscal Cliff' and the country just elected a dope whose motto is 'Forward'.  

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by: Vote3rdpartynow @ Wed Aug 22, 2012 at 00:04:36 AM UTC

Nope ... Truck Ads (0.00 / 0)

People can't resist the truck ads ...

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by: nomad943 @ Wed Aug 22, 2012 at 12:41:21 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Warren can't win on her own (0.00 / 0)

Warren doesn't impress the average voter.  The more we see her and hear her, the less we like her.  She hasn't done a good job explainaing why she would make a good senator.  It's no surprise her polling is suffering.  If this race is about Warren, she loses.

Scott Brown has done a good job in office.  He's kept his promise to remain independent.  He hasn't been beholden to any faction.  He's focused on the one issue that matters to every voter: jobs.  If this race is about Brown, Warren loses.  

So Warren pretends that this race is not about Warren v. Brown.  She pretends that she's running against Romney (or Ryan or Akin), when her actual opponent is much more popular in Massachusetts.  Her response to the PPP poll, as reported in the Globe, is telling: "The Republican agenda for women in America is not just wrong," she said, standing at the Omni Parker House on Beacon Hill. "It's dangerous."  Translation: Republicans hate women and Brown is a Republican, ergo Brown hates women.  Never mind that Brown is the husband of a professional woman and the father of two daughters.  How long before we see the commercials of Brown morphing into Akin?      
http://www.boston.com/politica...    

Warren is counting on a big turnout for President Obama, with most voters voting a pure slate.  I think she's in for a rude surprise.  Massachusetts voters are a little more independent than she understands, and they often split their ballots.  I've spoken to a lot of people who are strongly for President Obama and just as strongly for Sen. Brown.      

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by: Bravehaht @ Wed Aug 22, 2012 at 00:55:03 AM UTC