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Five Things you should know today, October 1, 2012

by: Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 07:28:28 AM EDT


Bonus: My GoLocalWorcester.com column made it in today, instead of Tuesday.

My latest for Go Local Worcester, Elizabeth Warren: Undocumented Lawyer was published today. A day earlier than I thought this week, I originally missed it.

1. One week later, former SCOTUS clerk David Kravitz of Blue Mass Group still hasn't weighed in on Law License controversy

Even though he has a different political view than I, one of the first places I turn when legal news breaks is Blue Mass Group.  David Kravitz, one of the editors of BMG clerked for Sandra Day O'Connor and worked as an executive lawyer during the Weld-ucci years in Massachusetts.  His take on the law is usually spot on.  

This is why I have been extremely confused that he has not weighed in on Elizabeth Warren's lack of a law license in Massachusetts.   If there was a clear defense of Warren, I'm sure that David would have given it already.  

Not only has he not done so at Blue Mass Group, he missed a chance when he bailed on an appearance on WGBH's Radio Boston, where the main topic was the law license scandal.  

I'm looking forward to Kravitz's take on the brewing scandal.

2. Executive Director of Voting Rights Group, New Democracy Coalition, sees a problem in Warren's lack of Massachusetts law license

Kevin C. Peterson, the founder and executive director of the New Democracy Coalition, said on WGBH's Boston Public Radio, "that there is there there" in regards to the controversy over Elizabeth Warren's law license.  The New Democracy Coalition focuses on the areas of civic literacy, civic policy and electoral justice.

Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno :: Five Things you should know today, October 1, 2012
3. Benghazi Gate- A timeline

Breitbart.com has outlined the timeline of the Benghazi terror attack and what the president knew, and when he knew it, and what he told the American people.  It is worth a read.

Late yesterday afternoon, in an obvious attempt to rescue President Obama from what could and should be a brutal round of Sunday shows examining the cover up the White House is currently engaged in with respect to the sacking of our consulate in Libya, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) released a statement revising its assessment of the attack. It is now the official position of the American intelligence community that what happened in Benghazi was a pre-planned terrorist attack.

4. Jim Lyons and Paul Adams voted with DeLeo the least

Beacon Hill Roll Call (via Lowell Sun) did an analysis of the voting patterns of House Members in the General Court.  They found that 42 representatives voted, in lockstep, with Speaker DeLeo 100% of the time.  They also said that Jim Lyons voted the least with DeLeo at 51.5%, and Paul Adams was right behind Lyons with 51.8%.  

Adams and Lyons are direct mail clients of mine.

5. Fly on the Wall - Internet Sales Tax Strategy Session Edition

According to the State House News Service Deval Patrick and Treasurer Steve Grossman will be meeting at 1PM in a closed door meeting.  Both men, as of late, have been hinting that they want an internet sales tax in Massachusetts.  No doubt that will be a large topic of discussion.  

To be a fly on the wall in that meeting.

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No, the *thing* to know today is the Tierney-Tisei poll! (5.00 / 3)
The most important thing today, by far, is the front page Globe story showing that we are likely to have the first Republican House member in 20 years. All the data beneath the main poll is lethal to Tierney.

(Why do I have the feeling that this story would have made the "top 5" if Tisei was socially conservative?)

Breaking the 20-year streak on the House would be a huge event in Republican politics, second only to the Scott Brown win in 2010. I am thrilled to see Tisei doing so well.

(Oh, fellow social conservatives - yes I disagree with Tisei on gay rights and abortion - let me save you some time on that ridiculous "This is all about Tierney's problems" argument. Tierney's scandal broke before the 2010 election, and your guy - Bill Hudak - couldn't win anyway and got his ass kicked by the least effective Congressman in the state. The Globe didn't even want to endorse Tierney in 2010 - if you read the editorial (link to the relevant section of the 2010 endorsements is here). The numbers in this poll look entirely different than under Hudak, and there is no way all the ticket splitters would be there for a social conservative guy. No - it is just as important that Tisei isn't a social conservative as is Tierney's problems. He will be exhibit 'A' that dragging the party and platform further to the right is !*#% insanity.)

I have supported many Republicans running for the House, and it feels fantastic to see that one can actually win. Go Richard!!!!  


I don't take a poll with 30% undecideds seriously (0.00 / 0)
The Globe poll is laughable. There is no way there are 30% undecideds about a month out from election day.


Full Disclosure


http://www.redmassgroup.com/pr...


[ Parent ]
Why not? (0.00 / 0)
Do you have any actual evidence for your disbelief about this poll? Is there something about the methodology you'd like to mention specifically? Of course not.

It does make sense. Tierney's gambling woes have gotten more and more play in the media, making many people unsure about him, yet unsure about Tisei - who is unknown to many. Also, outside GOP money has run lots of negative gambling-related ads in the district. Just read the quotes from the people in the Globe story who are now "unsure" about their long-time Congressman Tierney.


[ Parent ]
the poll (0.00 / 0)
crosstabs are a lie.  Didn't you get the memo?

yawn...


[ Parent ]
Oh - and this is what winning looks like (5.00 / 1)
Forgot to say that this is what winning over a seat from a long-time Democratic incumbent looks like - lots and lots of people who have always voted Democrat (registered or not) saying, "Well..... I have always voted Democratic, but I am not so sure this time.... The Republican actually looks like a good, reasonable person... Hmmmmmm..."

Lots of undecideds is exactly the pre-condition we need to win. A short, lightning-strike victory like the Jan 2010 Brown election is not going to be the norm. We need to move Democratic-voting groups from committed to undecideds. Tisei (and Tierney!) are making that happen. Tisei just needs to close the sale.


[ Parent ]
The poll didn't include Dan Fishman. (5.00 / 1)
The last poll to include Dan Fishman had him at 7%.

---
"That it ceased to exist, I'll grant you, but whether or not it failed cannot be definitively said." - Metropolitan (1990)


[ Parent ]
Sort of (0.00 / 0)
The poll did have an "other" choice (2%). Third party candidates often don't finish as strong anyway right at the end as people often switch to the guy perceived as stronger. I think that Fishman will probably get a few percent. But with a 6-point lead and 30 points of undecideds to mine, I don't think winning Fishman voters matters a lot to Tisei.

[ Parent ]
Good luck getting David to weigh in (0.00 / 0)
I've been trying to get David to weigh in on the legal aspects of conception rights and marriage for years now, and his position has been to ban me, four times now ("Dont-get-cute" was my forth username, from Bob Dylan's Fourth Time Around, and a reminder not to talk about the most-important-decision-in-the-planets-history. I was previously dcsurfer, they, and originally, John Howard).

Rob has tried to get an answer for me over there before, so he and I both know that David just shuts up when he knows he's gonna lose if he opens his mouth. That's what he's doing here, and that's what he did when we were talking about marriage and conception rights. Check out this old 2007 thread when he opened his mouth to say:

Just to stoke the fire,(0+ / 0-) View voters
it's perfectly legal for a man to impregnate his sister via artificial insemination, right?  No "genetic engineering" there, just the old turkey baster would do the trick.

david   @   Tue 4 Dec 7:00 PM



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