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A letter from the Conservative Grassroots

by: Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno

Wed Nov 14, 2012 at 14:53:18 PM EST


Anne Sorock at LegalInsurrection.com reprinted this letter from the conservative grassroots.  It's spot on.  The key point, and a mistake Scott Brown made is attacking the base.  The incessant I love Planned Parenthood ads turned off many people I know.

Dear Republican Establishment:

We hear you. We hear you blaming us for Mitt Romney's recent defeat in the Presidential election. Now hear us.

Over a year ago, we told you that Mitt Romney would not be able to energize the base. You responded that anger at Obama would provide all the energy we needed. You were told that affection FOR a candidate is always a better model than depending on anger AT another candidate. You disagreed. And now, the votes are in. You were wrong.

We also told you the 2012 election would be centered on turning out the GOP base. You insisted the election would hinge on winning independents. We now know that Romney did, in fact, win independents. Congratulations. He won those who showed up. Unfortunately, 10 million 2008 voters failed to get up off the sofa to vote for Romney. Nice job picking candidates!

Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno :: A letter from the Conservative Grassroots
The grassroots predicted Obama's victory model: to pivot hard left and drive up turnout of his base, to make independents terrified to vote for Romney, and to dispirit the GOP base. We noted that Romney was the candidate who best fit the Obama victory model, the only candidate who could deliver the one thing a billion Democrat dollars couldn't buy - a dispirited GOP base. You rejected that idea outright. Well, we have the results. Obama successfully delivered his own base to the polls....while doing such a good job of destroying Romney that 10 million 2008 voters failed to show up at the polls....while a dispirited GOP base complained about the lackluster Romney campaign which failed to attack, failed to defend, etc.

So now you blame the grassroots for all that? We would remind you that State & National GOP leadership leaned heavily on the grassroots this election cycle NOT to repeat the tactics which delivered victory in the 2010 mid-term elections. We played along, and quietly did the hard, grassroots work of walking streets and pounding phones for Romney. And look what happened. We did what you asked, the way you wanted it. Rest assured, the grassroots will not repeat this mistake again. Until you figure out how to listen to us as equal partners, we will not play with you. We will attack as we see fit.

We also warned you that the nomination of Mitt Romney would totally remove Obamacare from the election. It most certainly did. The single greatest policy vulnerability Obama had was totally neutered by virtue of Romney being the ideological godfather of the policy in question. Thanks.

Oh. Stop hanging Akin & Mourdock around our neck. We didn't know they didn't understand how conception works. You didn't know that the word "macaca" was part of George Allen's vocabulary, either. And you didn't blame him for the loss of the House and Senate in 2006. Interestingly, you put him up again this time around. We might make mistakes, but we don't make them twice. So stop the scapegoating, please.

A word about demography: Women aren't the problem, although we need to (and can) do better with them. Hispanics aren't the problem, although we need to (and can) do better with them. The biggest nut of the problem is this: our campaign inspired 10 million... 10 MILLION... voters from 2008 who decided not to vote for Obama to stay home rather than come out and vote for Mitt Romney. We lost because we did not present bold colors, big ideas that could inspire a nation to join us.

We lost because Mitt Romney, a man we immensely admire and respect, was the wrong candidate on just about every level. Mitt's failure to do the obvious and select Marco Rubio as VP makes it much, much harder to win the future Hispanic vote. It's not impossible. It can be done. Don't worry. The grassroots will fix this for you. Please stay out of our way. And don't do anything stupid like granting citizenship to 15m illegals. We have to persuade Hispanics they are conservatives who belong in the GOP, just like that County GOP Chairman in New Mexico did with Susanna Martinez. We win Hispanics by persuading them that conservatism, that free enterprise rather than entitlement, is the path to the American Dream of individual liberty and prosperity.

Let it be known that we were good soldiers. We got on board and worked as hard and cheerfully as anyone else on the team. But please let the most important lesson of 2012 sink in: If we don't nominate candidates who can inspire the grassroots of this country, we are not going to win, no matter how excited we think the independents are going be about them. If you cannot fire up your base, you are not going to fire up independents.

You cannot win without your base.

You cannot win by attacking your base.

Ok. Enough. We will not harp on it any more. You can poke us all you want. From here on, we're working on 2014. And 2016.

We hope you will join us. And LISTEN.

Sincerely,

The Conservative Grassroots,
AKA Tea Party, 912, Liberty, precinct Republicans, silent majority Americans

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Stupid, ignorant, and wrong (3.00 / 4)
Where to begin?  

I love it how nothing is ever the fault of the far-right. Not losing Senate seats in Connecticut, Nevada, Delaware, Indiana, or Missouri. Not turning the 2012 presidential primary into a conservative freak show, promoting unfit candidates and driving Mitt Romney to go the right of Rick Perry on immigration.

Yes, anonymous fool, losing Hispanics by 40-80 points is demographic suicide. Going on univision and giving your position on immigration (deport yourself!!) was a killer. If we had halved the Hispanic gap, Romney would have won easily. Everyone but you admits we must change dramatically on Hispanics and immigration. I know you think legal Hispanics don't care about how we talk about immigration. But your right-wing media is constantly abusing Hispanics (English-only, Mexican invasion, anchor babies, and more). I think the Hispanic voters hear that and think that we don't want even the legal citizens as neighbors.

25% of all American children are Hispanic. They will grow up and vote nativists like you out of the party. I hope we don't have to wait for that to happen.  

Oh - and I forgot - you said, as you do every year, that we just have to convince Hispanics they are Republicans. Whatever. You say that every time. You fail every time. Your angry white, exurban army will never do that.

Oh - and I love how you talk about the "establishment" picking Romney. Did you not see that we have a primary system and not smoke-filled rooms? In fact, our primary system gave your folk - conservative, know-nothings, enormous influence in the process. It was kow-towing to you that damaged Romney so badly. Just look at his negatives before and after the primary!!!

But it is just easier to make it sound like he was picked in a back room than that he had to earn votes of real Republicans for months on end.

I could go on and on about your eighth-grade logic and sloppy use of statistics. But I won't.

I don't care if you stay Republican. I don't care what you do. But the GOP has a massive, fatal, demographic problem. You know what that is? Too many people like you, not enough of everyone else.

Don't worry. We will fix that. Your help will not be required.


When (5.00 / 2)
you admit that door-to-door actually matters, and that's how John Walsh beat us two election cycles in a row, then we'll listen to the other stuff.

I distinctly remember you saying posting on Facebook is more important than face to face voter contact.

Full Disclosure


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[ Parent ]
True (2.00 / 1)
Facebook is more important than door-to-door as the data set is richer and more likely to predict voting behavior than our outdated walking lists. We just don't have the ability to use Facebook properly at this time. The Obama people did. They - and MoveOn.org - have the ability to combine online and offline stuff so they connect that front door to donations, Facebook, activity and more! They didn't roll some of it out in time for the election, but they will very soon be able to pull up a profile of the person behind the door they are about to knock on - including their Facebook stuff.

Even in this state the Democrats have a handheld mobile app to help them do this 3x as effectively as us.

Yes, I know I am supposed to be working on this. I owe the SC some stuff. I just started getting back on that today.

(And a shout-out to Representative Durant! He said at the meeting we need better data mining for the voters. I couldn't agree more. It is related to what I said above.)

John Walsh beats us most of the time by having candidates whose values are appealing to the majority of voters in that area plus good money and support. We complain about the very real support piece, forgetting that who you are and where you run is most important. Ryan Fattman would get his ass kicked in a Cambridge election - even with all he has going for him. Michael Capuano wouldn't be elected dog catcher in Fattman's neighborhood.  


[ Parent ]
No its not positions (0.00 / 0)
it is old fashioned grunt work.  

Ask Mary Z

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[ Parent ]
Positions, then grunt work (0.00 / 0)
Yes, Rob -

You found the exception. Sometimes the person with the better positions loses. But that isn't what we face 90% of the time.

My point was that you have to have the person (credible, charismatic, community ties) and the positions before the money and grunt work matters at all.

Take Jim Lyons. He's a great guy with great positions. That makes him a candidate who can win - but only in some parts of the state. He would lose in most of Massachusetts, by population.

But, where he is, his identity and positions work well. Then, grassroots support - which he appears to have (I see his volunteer activities online) - makes all the difference.

 


[ Parent ]
printer versus programmer (0.00 / 0)
I think Facebook and online stuff is better for Democrats, while leaving pamphlets in people's doors is better for Republicans. Face it, no one wants to lose all their friends by Liking some Republican thing.

[ Parent ]
I'm with Ed Factor. Excellent Post. The Reagan line about Hispanics not (5.00 / 2)
having discovered they are really Republicans is so far off base. It's RR having one of his affable dolt moments.

Ed someday your wisdom will sink in here at RMG, this place doesn't countenance contrarian thinking (I don't count Patrick). To take anything from LegalInsurrection.com seriously after the distraction the site caused the Brown campaign is really beside the point, at this point.

I especially agree with this point:
"The GOP has a massive, fatal, demographic problem. You know what that is? Too many people like you, not enough of everyone else."

Tired of hearing about Brown's position on Planned Parenthood. Had he gone the other way he would have lost by a wide margin.

The Republican Assembly mentality that thinks a Texas-sized conservative can run the tables in Massachusetts is highly delusional.  

"Work is the essence of Man."


[ Parent ]
Smoke filled rooms (0.00 / 0)
Oh - and I love how you talk about the "establishment" picking Romney. Did you not see that we have a primary system and not smoke-filled rooms? In fact, our primary system gave your folk - conservative, know-nothings, enormous influence in the process. It was kow-towing to you that damaged Romney so badly. Just look at his negatives before and after the primary!!!

You must be kidding, right?  There is enough video evidence of the Romney campaign cheating during the primaries to fill the library of congress.  Whether you're talking about here in Massachusetts, where the establishment unseated the democratically elected delegates, or at the convention where the GOP leadership pushed through rule changes against the will of the majority of delegates, the insiders were pushing Romney DESPITE the fact that nobody outside the inner circle liked the guy.  He was the worst candidate up there, being the father of ObamaCare, an avid anti-gun governor, with a terrible history on job creation - you almost couldn't find a worse, less inspiring candidate.  Who in their right mind would think that the guy (Romney) who LOST to the guy (McCain) who LOST to Obama in 2008 would be a good candidate against Obama 4 years later? Seriously?!?

And yet throughout the process, you kept trying to convince everyone he was the "front-runner" when there were more qualified and more electable candidates who were winning straw polls and leading Romney in national polling.

You people who pushed Romney and didn't let the primary process take it's course are the ones who lost the election for the Republican Party.  Stop trying to blame everyone else.


[ Parent ]
"Nice job picking candidates!" (5.00 / 2)
Christine O'Donnell, Ken Buck, Sharon Angle, Linda McMahon, Todd Akin, Richard Mourdock, and Joe Miller (almost cost us a seat).

Also, I wasn't aware that George Allen isn't considered a conservative anymore. He only had a lifetime ACU rating of 93%.

"We hear you blaming us for Mitt Romney's recent defeat in the Presidential election."

Why don't you blame Barack Obama? He's the one that beat him. I did everything I could to help out Mitt and the GOP.

"Nice job picking candidates!"

So you really think Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Michelle Bachmann, Jon Huntsman, and Gary Johnson would have done better? Mitt was not the best person in the country to be the GOP nominee. However, he was by far the most credible candidate in that horrible batch of candidates. The others would have failed to win over the center, AND failed to raise the money to get the base out. Yes, Romney's organization failed on the two yard line in getting the base out thanks to project ORCA, but if you think Romney was drowned by Democratic ads, you can't imagine how bad it would have been with the broke joke candidacies of the other primary contenders. They wouldn't have gotten within 5% of Obama.

"Mitt's failure to do the obvious and select Marco Rubio as VP"

You sure Marco Rubio was interested?

10 million 2008 voters failed to show up at the polls

2 Million votes have yet to be counted in California. When it is all said and done, Mitt will have more votes than McCain, and a couple million short of Bush. A defeat for sure, but Obama as you indicate, will be down even more. You assume those voters should have been Romney voters. You fail to realize that nearly 1.5 Million Obama voters didn't turn out in NY and NJ. 800k McCain voters didn't turn out. My point is you can't assume low turnout means low enthusiasm for Mitt. Naturally Democratic constituencies might have stayed home instead of voting for Obama, or people may be struggling with a hurricane.

(R)- Outside 495


Great observation MM. It will take some time for it to sink in (0.00 / 0)
with certain precincts of the Tea Party. Mitt Romney was the most presentable candidate. I think Jon Huntsman also had some virtues but no cash. I mean really, is Michelle Bachmann really in Mitt's league? She barely won re-election.

The social conservatives are causing the GOP great harm with the center. It's getting rather old.  

"Work is the essence of Man."


[ Parent ]
Romney the best candidate?!? (0.00 / 0)
So you really think Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Michelle Bachmann, Jon Huntsman, and Gary Johnson would have done better? Mitt was not the best person in the country to be the GOP nominee. However, he was by far the most credible candidate in that horrible batch of candidates. The others would have failed to win over the center, AND failed to raise the money to get the base out. Yes, Romney's organization failed on the two yard line in getting the base out thanks to project ORCA, but if you think Romney was drowned by Democratic ads, you can't imagine how bad it would have been with the broke joke candidacies of the other primary contenders. They wouldn't have gotten within 5% of Obama.

Ron Paul was ahead of Romney in national polls until around May, had the second highest fund-raising behind Romney with almost no corporate backing, got more independent votes than Romney in the first few primaries, got FAR more votes from the youth demographic (which btw would have been pulled directly from Obama) but you say Romney was the better candidate?  There's a reason Romney could barely get 800 people to attend a rally when Ron Paul was packing stadiums with 8,000 people in  California - nobody really likes Mitt Romney.  During a year when Occupy Wall Street coined the '99%' moniker, picking Mr. 1% was about the stupidest strategy imaginable for trying to win independents, and running the father of ObamaCare took away the best political issue conservatives could have used to energize the base.  And since Ron Paul has voted 100% consistently according to the constitution for 30+ years, the best "negative ads" the Dems & media would have been able to run would be the old tired "racist newsletters" meme that were proven to be written by James E Powell back in the 2008 race.

There might have been some worse candidates for the GOP to push, but Romney was definitely in the top 3 worst candidates!


[ Parent ]
Facts (5.00 / 1)
Ron Paul never led Obama in the RCP average.
Romney took a lead in the RCP average in October 2011. So you are wrong. There were indeed single polls where Paul polled better. The vast majority of polling showed Romney closer. In fact, the closest Paul ever got in the RCP average was 3.5% down to Obama on one day, Sept 26, 2011.

Romney was the best fund-raiser, and unlike Paul would have, did not cede corporate money to Pres. Obama.

I won't argue with the fact that Ron Paul had the largest group of extremely enthusiast supporters. However, his repeated failures in primary after primary, even with a money advantage over the non-Romney candidates, showed his electoral weakness. If you can't win a primary, you won't win a swing state.

I'm a little shocked you decided to use the OWS lingo to defend Ron Paul. Doesn't seem very libertarian to me. I don't think you are doing yourself a favor here. Even despite your poor word choice, you are still defeating your own arguments. Romney was the wrong guy for Independents? He won them! Something we haven't done since 2000.

Anyway, you said no one really likes Mitt Romney. Well you are wrong there too. You apparently didn't see the rallies in the month leading up to Nov 6th. They were massive, and everyone I talked to there liked Mitt too. Doesn't mean he was Mr. Popularity, but still, you are wrong. I have a strong feeling had Ron Paul weighed into the General Election and the onslaught of ads from Obama, he'd have been even more unpopular than he was in the primaries...

(R)- Outside 495


[ Parent ]
Some but not most activists (5.00 / 1)
I also experienced some Republican/conservative activists who were turned off by the Brown campaign focus on his pro-choice on abortion views.  I received a handful of phone calls & emails stating how they refused to support him on the matter despite his fairly pro-life voting record and endorsement by pro-life organizations.

Most of those people who contacted me understood that Scott Brown, despite his campaign rhetoric on his crucial issue, fell solidly within Ronald Reagan's 80% rule and that on pro-life issues, even if he wasn't in 100% locked step with me & others on the Culture of Life, that he was absolutely, positively, without a doubt infinitely better to have in the United States Senate then Elizabeth Warren!

Of course, some were absolutists and wouldn't follow the Reagan precedent.

Yes, the Brown campaign hit a few discordant notes with me as well - for example pushing the pro-choice mantra to its Catholics for Brown group - but again, when it comes down to it I, as a Catholic following the dictates of Evangelium Vitae (The Gospel of Life) encyclical by Pope John Paul II and as a socially conservative Republican could labor on behalf of, support, and cast a vote for Scott Brown without hesitation.  


Obviously Brock you get the bigger picture. What I want to know (0.00 / 0)
from the Republican/conservative activists you spoke to is whether they knew that Scott went out on the limb to defend religious liberty by supporting an exception clause for Catholic hospitals. No the spite right is too busy living in its own bubble. To echo what Ed Factor and Merrimac Man have been arguing today, the social conservatives need a reality check. And for those who stayed home, well I have a message, you really have to live with your choices so don't complain.

"Work is the essence of Man."

[ Parent ]
Exactly. (0.00 / 0)
Who's going to be a more pro-life senator; Brown or Warren?  

I understand some people have strong beliefs.  But in the end the world isn't black and white.  Political candidates can't be binary either.  They are going to represent a large swath of constituents, and to represent or govern effectively, they space to maneuver.


[ Parent ]
Any conservatives yelling 'I told you so' are not worth listening to.. (0.00 / 0)
I have seen brilliant political analysts predict something spot-on one day, and be made a fool of the next.  

Time for the GOP to get over this thing and back to work...

We are headed for a 'Fiscal Cliff' and the country just elected a dope whose motto is 'Forward'.  


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