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Rasmussen corrects favorable-unfavorable data

by: Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno

Tue Jul 27, 2010 at 10:34:46 AM EDT


In yesterday's Rasmussen reports poll the favorable-unfavorable data for Tim Cahill and Charlie Baker was transposed.  Much was made by team Cahill and team Patrick that the negative ads have backfired on Charlie. Well that's just not the case.  Vincent Errichetti was right, they didn't make sense because they weren't correct.

The updated numbers can be found here.

It now breaks down that Tim Cahill has favorables of 36%, and unfavorables of 46%.  Charlie Baker has favorables of 44% and unfavorables of 38%.

Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno :: Rasmussen corrects favorable-unfavorable data
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So how does (0.00 / 0)
the Cahill camp spin this into a positive? If he persists in this campaign we'll have 4 more years of Coupe Deval to thank him for on top of the pay to play and patronage. What a legacy.

G.O.P. Growth. Opportunity. Prosperity. For all Americans.

Karl (TLC)Weld


Another Mistake! (0.00 / 0)
THERE IS ANOTHER MISTAKE in the report or as least in the online results from the link noted above - which goes to Rasmussen's Website!! What the $#@#$$% ????  

Read 3* below ...What is November 23, 2010 (last line)??  Should read November 23, 2009.  

How can a professional survey company make these mistakes???  

How can the company WEBSITE be wrong??  How do you spell Creditable - NOT ????

(from the website)

2* How would you rate the job Deval Patrick has been doing as Governor... do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he's been doing?
18% Strongly approve
32% Somewhat approve
13% Somewhat disapprove
36% Strongly disapprove
 0% Not sure

3* 2010 Massachusetts Governor Race

Charlie Baker (R)
Deval Patrick (D)
Tim Cahill (I)
Not Sure

July 22, 2010
32%
38%
17%
12%

June 21, 2010
34%
41%
16%
9%

May 10, 2010
31%
45%
14%
10%

April 5, 2010
27%
35%
23%
15%

March 8, 2010
32%
35%
19%
14%

November 23, 2010
28%
33%
25%
14%
 

"Together we are the GOP team"


Must be (0.00 / 0)
one of those interns billxi is always railing about.

G.O.P. Growth. Opportunity. Prosperity. For all Americans.

Karl (TLC)Weld


[ Parent ]
That's true - billxi hates interns (0.00 / 0)


Molon Labe

[ Parent ]
That's true - billxi hates interns (0.00 / 0)


Molon Labe

[ Parent ]
Questions on the economy are very telling (0.00 / 0)
Questions 9&10 on oil drilling & 13-15 on the economy are very telling.

Since they seem to be clearly divided along Ideological lines, this looks like the area where any candidate has the most room to expand his support.

I'd suggest the GOP shore up its talking points on the merits of energy independence including a renewed focus on Nuclear Power, as well as clearly detailing the folly of Obama's off shore drilling Moratorium.
&
How the moratorium is beneficial to George Soros' concerns in Brazil (Petrobras).

Anyone wanting to win in November had better get the 20-25% of the Undy's on those questions.

Since most people still don't yearn for bigger government & are weary of the Progressive plans to further expand it;
a better job of educating the undy's on the fact that Obama's incarnation of "Keynsian Economics" failed to prime the pump as we were told it would.

In the latest edition of National Review Ramesh Ponnuru ("Pro business not Pro Businessman") is a great illustration of my point. & A quote by Rep Paul Ryan nails it down nicely

"The problem we have as a party is we have often confused being pro-market with being pro-big business"

We should campaign against "Crony Capitalism" where government picks & chooses the winners.

As we've seen under Obama all too often the chosen winners are the union heavy corporations which are deemed "too big to fail" while the small business gets squeezed out.



"When the past no longer illuminates the future, the spirit walks in darkness."
                    Alexis de Tocqueville


Cahill is with you (5.00 / 1)
From SHNS:
CAHILL BACKS NUCLEAR PLANT IN MASS.
Independent Treasurer Timothy Cahill would lead a drive to site a nuclear power facility in Massachusetts, he said Monday. Cahill acknowledged likely hurdles to finding a location for the plant. Appearing on the "Eagan and Braude" WTKK morning show, Cahill said he preferred nuclear energy and said there should be more land-based and off-shore drilling for oil. "I think nuclear makes a lot of sense," Cahill said. Asked if he would helm a charge for nuclear power, Cahill replied, "If there was the right location.

From a different SHNS report on May 11th where Treasurer Cahill advocates across the board tax cuts:

Cahill said he would move away from plans in recent years that "pick winners and losers" among industries, a charge often leveled by critics of state laws extending favorable tax treatment to the film and biotech industries.

Treasurer Cahill is with you...

Matthew P. Carleo, Yobgoblin


[ Parent ]
Too big to fail? (2.33 / 3)
Yeah, I also forgot to mention that HPHC was deemed to big to fail...so Charlie Baker was more than happy to except a 147 million dollar bailout from the taxpayer.

Charlie Baker is a crony capitalist.  

Matthew P. Carleo, Yobgoblin


[ Parent ]
Bailout? (0.00 / 0)
Was it paid back?

"Never, never, never give up" - Winston Churchill

[ Parent ]
Who Knows .. (0.00 / 0)
Noone is even sure where the actual funding came from. The entire affair was cloaked under a court enforced gag order and I doubt that we will be getting the details of where the funding eventualy came from anytime soon (or ever).

[ Parent ]
This guy doesn't think it's a bailout (5.00 / 2)
http://www.hschange.com/CONTEN...

In late 1999, when Harvard Pilgrim's losses ballooned, Massachusetts enacted emergency legislation to empower the insurance commissioner to take over the failing health plan. At the same time, Harvard Pilgrim's CEO was attempting to raise millions of dollars through bonds issued by a state public funding authority for the sale and leaseback of the plan's health centers.

During the due diligence process for the proposed financing, Harvard Pilgrim discovered a serious accounting error. Adjusting for the error made its losses much larger than previously believed, causing the bond issue to be canceled and forcing the state to take over the plan under the receivership law that had just been enacted on an emergency basis.

Three months later, buoyed up by rosier projections of Harvard Pilgrim's revenues and costs, the state announced that the plan could enter rehabilitation under limited state supervision. In lieu of selling the plan to a for-profit insurer, liquidating the plan or bailing it out, the state found a way to address Harvard Pilgrim's most significant problem-a lack of statutory capital.

By creating a plan to restructure Harvard Pilgrim's debt and allowing an accounting change that permits the plan to carry the value of its health centers at current market value, the state made it possible for the plan's balance sheet to show strongly positive net worth. Since then, the plan has taken solid steps toward recovery by raising premiums and lowering administrative costs.

By allowing the accounting adjustments that shifted millions of dollars to the plan's asset base and restored Harvard Pilgrim's statutory net worth, Massachusetts avoided a bailout that would have entailed an injection of state funds, loans from major creditors and other stakeholders, sale of the plan to a for-profit entity or liquidation. Each of these alternatives was fraught with implications for the health care system.


G.O.P. Growth. Opportunity. Prosperity. For all Americans.

Karl (TLC)Weld


[ Parent ]
Thanks (0.00 / 0)
The tone of the "bailout" post is disgusting. That post, made by Matthew Carleo, Political Director for Paul J. P. Loscocco, Independent Candidate for Lt. Governor, makes it sound like the Commonwealth stepped in and wrote a $147 million check to HP and walked away not expecting to be repaid. What appears to have happened here is that an HMO on the brink of folding was appropriately put into receivership. A workout was designed and today we have a healthy HMO in the Massachusetts market that employs lots of people.

From the above referenced article:

By allowing the accounting adjustments that shifted millions of dollars to the plan's asset base and restored Harvard Pilgrim's statutory net worth, Massachusetts avoided a bailout that would have entailed an injection of state funds, loans from major creditors and other stakeholders, sale of the plan to a for-profit entity or liquidation. Each of these alternatives was fraught with implications for the health care system.

In hindsight, the manner in which this matter was handled looks pretty damn good to me particularly in light of the bailout nonsense of the previous 18 months.  

"Never, never, never give up" - Winston Churchill


[ Parent ]
Wow.... (0.00 / 0)
...that totally sucks for Team Cahill.  I mean, they where able to grab the high negatives for 'Charlie Baker' and composed this entire narrative (not unjustly, I might add) that Charlie was unelectable because of his negatives, only to discover that it's their guy who had the bad numbers.

That....I mean...eek.  Just not what you want not have happen on any campaign.


Follow me on Twitter?  Sure, why not.  www.twitter.com/paulferro


Yep that's a Tuff 1 to spin there (0.00 / 0)


"When the past no longer illuminates the future, the spirit walks in darkness."
                    Alexis de Tocqueville


[ Parent ]
Super Suck! (5.00 / 1)
So true Paul ...isn't this GRAND!!!  Cahill team takes the WRONG numbers ...spins something into them ...find out that its really about THEM and not the other guy ..and they start to think ...woops ..and they say "Hey I'm sorry about that" ...no wait ...been pretty silent on here from Joe ...no woops ...no ...didn't really mean it ...no ...commented to soon ...or I should have said ...or even some NEW spin!

Give it up Joe.  Your guy is done.  Save face and work for the other Republicans you like and walk away from Cahill ..its over ..put a fork in it!  

"Together we are the GOP team"


[ Parent ]



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