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Will Obama's Payroll Tax Hike Cause a Recession?

by: Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno

Tue Jan 29, 2013 at 16:40:47 PM EST


The median household income in the United States is around $46,000.  This means that the average household will see a $920 per year drop in their disposable income as a result of the end of the payroll tax holiday.  This means that they will take home, on average $77 less per month.  Now that American families have figured this out, it has decimated the consumer confidence index.  The Washington Times has the story:

U.S. consumer confidence took a dive this month, wiping out all the gains of 2012, a drop fueled by the expiration of the 2 percentage point cut in payroll taxes, the Conference Board reported Tuesday.

The tax increase took effect on Jan. 1, and though long expected in Washington, it appeared to take consumers by surprise. It was included in the $650 billion "fiscal cliff" tax package passed by Congress in the early morning hours on New Year's Day. The bill was dubbed by the media as a "tax hike on the rich," but the payroll tax provision hit the paychecks of primarily middle- and low-income consumers.

"The increase in the payroll tax has undoubtedly dampened consumers' spirits and it may take a while for confidence to rebound and consumers to recover from their initial paycheck shock," said Lynn Franco, economist at the Conference Board.

Read more: http://www.washingtontimes.com...
Follow us: @washtimes on Twitter

Are our policy makers that blind that they didn't see this coming.  $77 a month is probably these family's budget for going out to eat a couple times a month.  This is going to send ripples through our economy.

Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno :: Will Obama's Payroll Tax Hike Cause a Recession?
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BUT... (0.00 / 0)
It's NOT your money, it's the government's money... you're depriving the government of its own money.  Besides, the government knows better how to spend your money, I mean its money, better than you so because the government is so compassionate and benevolent, as well as omniscient & omnipowerful, the government will wisely invest your tax dollars for you.

They're not blind, quite the contrary our policy makers are enlightened.  YOU are blind, you still have the scales of fiscal responsibility and sound economic policy covering your eyes.  The government's policy makers have been anointed from on high to do for you because you are simply incapable of doing for yourself.  


About that payroll tax... (0.00 / 0)
http://www.slate.com/blogs/wei...

Well, who were they supposed to vote for? Neither Mitt Romney nor Barack Obama said he'd extend the payroll tax holiday past 2012. None of the House Republicans' "fiscal cliff" offers included an extension in the tax holiday; John Boehner's office confirmed that he didn't want to include it.

Most of the time, when Republicans attack Democrats for raising/wanting to raise taxes, they're contrasting the Democrats for something Republicans would never do. But to criticize Democrats over the restored payroll tax is to slam them for something Republicans wanted. It's beautiful, sometimes, the lack of responsibility that comes with diminished powers.



---
"That it ceased to exist, I'll grant you, but whether or not it failed cannot be definitively said." - Metropolitan (1990)


yeh but (0.00 / 0)
Romney would have worked on tax simplification, and the business community would have been more confident.

BTW - I'm just depressed about our political situation - Obama raising our taxes and now Governor Patrick.



[ Parent ]
Is Patrick raising taxes or shifting them? (0.00 / 0)
Shifting taxes from sales to income should help job creators, and that helps us all in the long run.

---
"That it ceased to exist, I'll grant you, but whether or not it failed cannot be definitively said." - Metropolitan (1990)


[ Parent ]
Patrick is raising them on everything (0.00 / 0)
income tax
gas tax
small reduction in sales tax - I'm sure it will go back up again.

and don't forget - you will now be taxed on the capital gains value of your house (not inflation adjusted).


[ Parent ]
sheesh (0.00 / 0)
Is Patrick raising taxes or shifting them?

Tough question: i) Patrick said he's "raising taxes" and ii) taxes are increasing in total by $1.9 billion.  

Shift or raise?  Are the total tax receipts increasing as result of Gov. Patrick's tax proposal.  If yes ==> raise.

Elizabeth Warren: a bankruptcy professor, bankrupt of ideas


[ Parent ]
Payroll tax fiction (0.00 / 0)
The Dems wanted to restore the payroll tax because they wanted to return to the fiction that it is a kind of insurance premium that justifies not doing anything to reform SS or Medicare.
The Republicans should have had the stones to propose abolishing this nonsensical and regressive tax altogether in exchange for a broader based income tax.

[ Parent ]
Think so (0.00 / 0)
I think the rise in payroll taxes can affect the industries and the salary it pays its employees. I think recession is going to open its doors again.
http://www.karinherzog.com/fr

Love all this talk about Obama's payroll tax hike at RMG... (0.00 / 0)
...I must have missed all the celebration around here when he lowered the payroll taxes in the first place.

I didn't celebrate when he lowered them (0.00 / 0)
Short term taxes changes do not effect behavior in a major way. Most people probably didn't know their taxes went down.

The first change was not smart - rates right up their with the cash for clunkers rebate.


[ Parent ]
All the news outlets (0.00 / 0)
All the news outlets that lie to everyone about the economy improving are carrying O's water and won't tell the truth until things get even worse- which they are going to do. The good news is that I've realized that I have to start painting originals again- works for sale so that I might make some extra money or go to no credit check lenders. I just wonder if I start selling again, and I've sold every painting I've ever painted, whether or not I'll be able to stay off of Food Stamps- and especially if I'll have to credit O for driving me to be successful by putting me up against the wall.

Adverstise here for as low as $60 per week.








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